Weather pictures & report of June 28 2011

 

Large multi-cell (MCS alike) thunderstorms along convergence line.


Synopsis: at 500 hPa, east of a relaxing trough west of the British Isles, our area in a rather weak SW'ly flow of warm and humid potentially unstable air. At surface passage of thermal depression and related convergence line enhanced the instability which started late afternoon with formation of large multi-cell (MCS alike) thunderstorms, mainly over central and eastern parts of the Benelux.. Locally, it lead to downbursts and large hail, also at my location with all pictures taken at Kampenhout (central Belgium), hours in local time (CET). 

 

Surface analysis of June 28 2011 at 2000 CET. Related to a thermal depression extending from the Alps towards the Northsea, a convergence line over central-eastern Benelux. (Source chart: Belgocontrol)

 

Loop of 16 surface analyses (of each hour between 28/1400 - 29/0200 CET) with weather plots showing the slow movement of the thermal depression. (Source: meteocentre.com)

 

Upper air analysis 500 hPa of June 28 2011 at 1400 CET. Related to a low near Iceland, a long wave relaxing trough just west of Eire slowly moving eastwards. On the other hand a collapsing ridge over central Europe. Our area in a strengthening SW'ly airflow. (Source chart: DWD via wetter3)

 

Upper air analysis 850 hPa of June 28 2011 at 1400 CET. Overhead a weak SW'ly flow advection very warm air. Over England already remarkable cooler air is present (difference 10 °C)   (Source chart: DWD via wetter3)

 

Max temperatures of June 28 2011: as history would tell, this was the warmest day of 2011 with everywhere in Belgium >30°C.

 

Loop of forecasted soundings for Brussels of June 28 2011 between 0830-2000 CET. In forenoon unstable from 700 hPa upwards with below a so called CAP (or inversion) clearing from 1600 onwards due to diurnal heating.  Furthermore wind direction seems fluctuates between SE and SW, but in reality the direction stayed E-SE till the passage of the thunderstorms in the evening when veering to NW (as calculated). Speed and directional shear was rather weak, limiting chances for supercells.  (Source: RASP)

 

Another loop of forecasted soundings for a 21 hours period (in steps of three hours) of Brussels from June 28 2011, 0500 CET onwards. Included are some thunderstorms indices: surface based CAPE went up over 3500 J/kg, KI 39, TT 55, LI -13 = strong convective potential which may lead to frequent thunderstorms, isolated severe. Due to the high CAPE large and deep multi-cells could be expected. (Source: weatheronline.co.uk)

 

Forecasted vertical profile and surface temperature of June 28 for Brussels Airport from 0800 CET and the following 48 hours. Legend of upper map: green-brown-white is humidity in steps of 10% with darkest green being 90% or more, wind in kt, temperatures each 5°C. Humid air in afternoon well towards the upper levels (200 hPa). Furthermore evidence of a fall of upper air temperatures with passage of cold front, and much drier air behind (above 9000 ft). Wind shear in afternoon of June 28 initially not that great, strengthening late evening  and next night. (Source: Belgocontrol)

 

28/06/2011 1715-2100 CET. Satellite loop in the visual channel. Exploding large multi-cells (MCS alike) thunderstorms with overshooting tops. (Source sat picture: Eumetsat via Sat24.com)

 

Still image of the late evening in the visual channel (RGB) giving a nice view of the MCS alike storm extending from eastern France towards the Nortsea. On its western side, along the cold front, some smaller storms. (Source pic: Eumetsat)

 

Radar loop (rainfall rate in mm/hr) of June 28 2011 between 1630-1850 CET. Along the French border an upcoming deep shower up to 15 km, with on its NE-flank new developing deep storms which produced downbursts and large hail. When the storm reached the radar at Zaventem, lightning struck on it ceasing all activity. Was after repairs fully operational from September 21 onwards! (Source radar picture: Belgocontrol)

 

So from 1900 CET onwards switching to the Dutch radar. Note the sudden decaying phase from 2000 onwards, but 1h30 later reactivating. Further note: the cell over Limbourg (near Genk) was also quite active at 1900 which Belgcontrol radar in its final images didn't show . Apparently, the incoming severe storm "blinded" its beam towards the northeast. (Source radar picture: Buienradar)

 

Corresponding discharges of June 28 2011 between 1515-2300 CET. (Source lightning picture: Blids)

 

28/06/2011. 24 hour overview of the discharges over the Benelux: the pink color were some storms of the morning hours. Total amount of discharges over Belgium over the entire storm period (extending into the night of June 29) was 73192, of which 9011 cloud-to-ground strikes. The west and extreme east escaped most of it. (source picture: Buienradar)

 

Max gusts (in knot) of June 28 2011 between 1400-2000 CET: Beauvechain the winner with 65 kt during a downburst, followed by Zaventem and Charleroi with 54 kt.

 

Amount of rainfall over 24 hrs from of June 28 0800 CET onwards. Winner was Thisnes (Hannut) 84,7 mm followed by Haacht 64 mm, Sivry 57,1 mm, Waarloos 54,3 mm, Solre-sur-Sambre 52,5 mm. (Source picture: IRM).

 

Some metars (hours in UTC). Translation: copy paste each obs via metar-decoder
 

Metars of Brussels Airport (EBBR)
EBBR 281450Z 13005KT 080V170 CAVOK 32/19 Q1012 NOSIG
EBBR 281520Z 15005KT 120V190 9999 FEW044TCU 33/19 Q1012 NOSIG  
EBBR 281550Z 14006KT 9999 FEW044CB 33/19 Q1011 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRA  
EBBR 281620Z VRB02KT 9999 SCT044CB 31/23 Q1011 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRAGR
EBBR 281650Z 13020G54KT 070V170 3000 +TSRA SCT014 BKN046CB 20/15 Q1011 TEMPO VRB30G50KT
EBBR 281720Z 03009KT 310V060 9999 -TSRA SCT046CB 22/18 Q1011 NOSIG 
EBBR 281750Z 36015KT 320V040 9999 -RA SCT046CB 20/18 Q1013 RETS TEMPO VRB20G40KT 4000 TSRA BKN040CB
EBBR 281820Z 08005KT 050V130 9999 -RA FEW046CB 21/18 Q1012 RETS TEMPO VRB20G40KT 4000 TSRA BKN040CB
EBBR 281850Z 12003KT 080V170 9999 FEW046TCU 20/17 Q1011 NOSIG  
EBBR 281920Z VRB02KT 9999 -TSRA SCT046CB 21/18 Q1012 NOSIG 
EBBR 281950Z 35007KT 320V020 9999 -TSRA SCT013 SCT045CB 20/18 Q1013 NOSIG  
EBBR 282020Z 35003KT 310V080 9999 -TSRA FEW013 SCT040CB 20/18 Q1014 NOSIG  
EBBR 282050Z 21003KT 170V270 2000 TSRA BKN004 BKN040CB 19/18 Q1015 TEMPO 1400 +TSRAGR  
EBBR 282120Z 19016G34KT 140V250 2500 +TSRA SCT004 BKN020CB 19/18 Q1016 TEMPO 1400 +TSRAGR  
EBBR 282150Z 27009KT 240V300 8000 -TSRA FEW008 SCT020CB 19/18 Q1015 TEMPO VRB20G40KT 1400 +TSRAGR BKN020CB 
EBBR 282220Z 34003KT 6000 -RA FEW008 SCT020CB 19/18 Q1016 RETS TEMPO VRB20G40KT 1400 +TSRA BKN020CB
EBBR 282250Z 11003KT 3500 -RA BR FEW008 FEW030CB 19/18 Q1015 NOSIG 

 

Metars of Beauvechain (EBBE)
EBBE 281517Z 14006KT 9999 FEW120 34/19 Q1012 BLU FCST CANCEL
EBBE 281525Z AUTO /////KT //// // ////// ///// Q////
EBBE 281625Z AUTO VRB03KT 9999 -RA FEW065 SCT080 32/20 Q1010 BLU
EBBE 281628Z AUTO VRB02KT 7000 RA FEW050 BKN065 31/23 Q1011 WHT
EBBE 281637Z AUTO 19005G15KT 4200 +SHRA FEW050 BKN065 BKN210 27/23 Q1011 GRN
EBBE 281643Z AUTO 20016G33KT 2600 +SHRA FEW024 SCT036 BKN055 24/22 Q1012 YLO
EBBE 281649Z AUTO 18024G37KT 1500 +SHRA SCT024 BKN050 BKN065 20/19 Q1012 AMB
EBBE 281657Z AUTO 14027G42KT 1600 +SHRA FEW011 SCT026 BKN042 22/18 Q1012 YLO
EBBE 281703Z AUTO 13021G31KT 6000 +SHRA FEW011 SCT036 BKN090 22/19 Q1011 WHT
EBBE 281709Z AUTO 12017KT 9999 -SHRA FEW011 SCT070 BKN200 23/18 Q1011 RESHRA BLU
EBBE 281725Z AUTO 11013G65KT 9999 -SHRA FEW022 BKN160 24/19 Q1011 RESHRA BLU
EBBE 281748Z AUTO 21012G26KT 7000 SHRA FEW038 SCT055 BKN085 24/21 Q1013 RESHRA WHT
EBBE 281759Z AUTO 05005KT 8000 +SHRA FEW026 SCT050 BKN070 23/21 Q1013 BLU
EBBE 281825Z AUTO 11008KT 9999 SHRA FEW026 SCT085 BKN110 21/20 Q1012 RESHRA BLU
EBBE 281925Z AUTO 24007KT 9999 // FEW130 SCT170 BKN240 21/19 Q1012 BLU 
EBBE 281934Z AUTO 21004KT 3000 -SHRA SCT095 BKN150 21/20 Q1013 YLO
EBBE 281945Z AUTO 09004KT 5000 SHRA FEW029 SCT075 BKN100 21/20 Q1012 WHT
EBBE 281951Z AUTO VRB03KT 9999 SHRA FEW037 SCT070 BKN100 21/20 Q1012 BLU
EBBE 282025Z AUTO 19012KT 9999 -SHRA FEW024 SCT105 BKN120 20/19 Q1014 RESHRA BLU
EBBE 282028Z AUTO 21007G17KT 7000 +SHRA FEW020 SCT075 BKN105 20/19 Q1014 WHT
EBBE 282035Z AUTO 28004KT 8000 +SHRA FEW020 SCT070 BKN100 20/19 Q1014 BLU
EBBE 282052Z AUTO 22013KT 6000 +SHRA FEW029 BKN060 BKN080 20/20 Q1016 WHT
EBBE 282058Z AUTO 20018KT 1100 +SHRA FEW024 SCT041 BKN070 20/20 Q1016 AMB
EBBE 282105Z AUTO 20019KT 2700 +SHRA FEW024 SCT036 BKN060 19/19 Q1016 YLO
EBBE 282111Z AUTO 20016KT 8000 +RA FEW024 SCT041 BKN050 20/19 Q1016 BLU
EBBE 282125Z AUTO 21011KT 9999 RA FEW024 SCT043 BKN105 20/19 Q1015 RERA BLU
EBBE 282147Z AUTO VRB02KT 7000 RA FEW075 BKN090 OVC115 20/19 Q1015 RERA WHT


Metars of Deurne (EBAW)
EBAW 281620Z VRB02KT 9999 FEW045CB 32/20 Q1011 TEMPO VRB15G35KT 3000 TSRA  
EBAW 281650Z 35003KT 9999 FEW045CB 31/21 Q1010 TEMPO VRB15G35KT 3000 TSRA  
EBAW 281720Z 35006KT 9999 -TS SCT045CB 31/19 Q1009 TEMPO VRB15G35KT 3000 TSRA  
EBAW 281750Z 17020G32KT 1000 R11/1900N R29/1900N +TSRA BR SCT005 BKN060CB 20/18 Q1015 TEMPO 6000 -TSRA 
EBAW 281820Z 06009KT 9000 -TSRA FEW005 SCT013 SCT060CB 20/17 Q1010 NOSIG
EBAW 281850Z 23003KT 170V290 9999 FEW013 FEW060CB 21/18 Q1012 RETS NOSIG
EBAW 281920Z VRB02KT 9999 FEW050CB 21/18 Q1012 NOSIG
EBAW 281950Z 33006KT 9999 SCT060CB 21/19 Q1013 NOSIG
EBAW 282020Z 36004KT 310V050 4700 BR SCT060CB 21/19 Q1013 NOSIG
EBAW 282050Z 29004KT 250V350 6000 FEW065CB 21/18 Q1014 TEMPO 28015G40KT 3000 TSRA  
EBAW 282120Z AUTO 22005KT 160V250 7000 NCD 20/17 Q1014 

 

Metars of Charleroi (EBCI)
EBCI 281520Z 22010KT 170V260 9999 FEW048 34/16 Q1012 TEMPO 3000 TSRAGR 
EBCI 281550Z 22011KT 200V260 9999 SCT045CB 33/18 Q1011 TEMPO 20015G35KT 3000 TSRAGR BKN040CB
EBCI 281620Z 23012KT 9999 TS SCT040CB 32/18 Q1011 TEMPO 20015G35KT 3000 TSRAGR BKN040CB
EBCI 281650Z 25011KT 9999 TS SCT040CB 31/19 Q1012 TEMPO 20015G35KT 3000 TSRAGR BKN040CB
EBCI 281720Z 26024G40KT 220V290 9000 TSRA FEW018CB SCT030CB 20/16 Q1013 TEMPO 26030G50KT 3000 TSRAGR BKN040CB  
EBCI 281750Z 24010KT 9999 -TSRA FEW018CB SCT030CB 21/18 Q1011 TEMPO VRB15G30KT 2500 TSRAGR 
EBCI 281820Z 19007KT 170V270 9999 FEW008 FEW030CB 21/17 Q1013 RETS TEMPO VRB15G30KT 2500 TSRAGR
EBCI 281850Z 04009G21KT 340V090 9999 FEW030CB 22/19 Q1013 RETS TEMPO VRB20G40KT 2500 TSRAGR
EBCI 281920Z 20010KT 7000 -TSRA FEW010 SCT023CB 21/18 Q1014 TEMPO VRB20G40KT 2500 TSRAGR
EBCI 281950Z 17006KT 110V230 9999 -TS FEW010 SCT030CB 21/19 Q1014 TEMPO 3000 TSRA  
EBCI 282020Z 18006KT 130V250 9000 TSRA FEW010 SCT030CB 20/19 Q1016 TEMPO 3000 TSRA 
EBCI 282050Z 22016KT 4000 TSRA FEW006 SCT010 BKN030CB 18/17 Q1017 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRA
EBCI 282120Z 19006KT 150V210 9999 -TSRA FEW010 SCT025CB 19/17 Q1015 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRA 
EBCI 282150Z 28008KT 240V300 9999 -TSRA FEW010 SCT025CB 19/18 Q1016 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRA 
EBCI 282220Z 24012KT 9999 -TSRA FEW010 SCT030CB 19/16 Q1017 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRA 
EBCI 282250Z 15008KT 110V190 9000 -TSRA FEW010 SCT030CB 19/18 Q1016 TEMPO VRB20G35KT 2500 TSRA 
EBCI 282320Z 14010KT 8000 TSRA FEW010 SCT030CB 19/18 Q1016 TEMPO 3000 TSRA 
EBCI 282350Z 15007KT 9999 -TSRA FEW007 SCT030CB 19/17 Q1015 TEMPO 3000 TSRA
EBCI 290020Z 18006KT 130V210 9999 -TSRA FEW007 FEW030CB 19/17 Q1014 TEMPO 3000 TSRA

 

Metars of Bierset (EBLG) .
EBLG 281720Z 17008KT CAVOK 32/16 Q1011 NOSIG
EBLG 281750Z 17005KT 150V220 9999 VCTS FEW050CB 32/17 Q1011 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT 
EBLG 281820Z 26021G31KT 9999 -TSRA SCT045CB 23/17 Q1013 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT 
EBLG 281850Z 25023G41KT 1800 +TSRA FEW001 BKN048CB 20/17 Q1014 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT  
EBLG 281920Z 15011KT 9999 -TSRA FEW001 SCT020CB 23/18 Q1012 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT 
EBLG 281950Z 11008KT 9999 -RA FEW020CB 24/16 Q1011 RETS TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT 
EBLG 282020Z 27010G25KT 230V330 9999 -SHRA FEW020CB 23/18 Q1015 RETS TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT
EBLG 282050Z 36003KT 310V040 9999 -TSRA FEW030CB 20/18 Q1014 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT
EBLG 282120Z 24016G28KT 9999 TSRA SCT027CB 20/19 Q1017 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT  
EBLG 282150Z 29006KT 9999 -TSRA SCT027CB 20/18 Q1016 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT
EBLG 282220Z 19003KT 120V240 9999 -TSRA FEW027CB 20/18 Q1016 TEMPO 2500
EBLG 282220Z 19003KT 120V240 9999 -TSRA FEW027CB 20/18 Q1016 TEMPO 2500 TSRA VRB20G40KT







28/06/2011 1803 W. Gradually the sky began to darken as the anvil of a big thunderstorm (over Hainaut) approached.

 

28/06/2011 1804 SSW. With in the south also the building of a new cell.

 

28/06/2011 1838 SW. Half an hour later, this new cell approached quite rapidly while further building.

 

28/06/2011 1846 SW. Also a shelf cloud was forming almost overhead.

 

28/06/2011 1846 WSW. And moving quite rapidly to the north.

 

28/06/2011 1856 NNW. Bit later stormy winds from the ESE pushing rain and hail down- and sidewards.

 

28/06/2011 1904 SE. 10 minutes later the storm temporary eased off with some chaotic skies.

 

28/06/2011 1900-1915. Video shortened to 5 minutes during the hail storm.

 

28/06/2011 1937. When the heavy rain ceased, I went outside to check a batch of hailstones compared with 1 Euro (which has a diameter of 2,2 cm).

 

29/06/2011. Some hail stones collected and preserved in the freezer. Compared with 1 Euro, the largest one measured 2,7 cm.

 

29/06/2011. One of the larger stones for further examination: it showed melting and freezing process at least three times.

 

28/06/2011 2033. Car port with holes of the hail.

 

28/06/2011 2055 SW. "De Dreef" showed signs of the damaging wind.

 

28/06/2011 2006 NNE. On the backside of the storm, mammatus appeared.

 

28/06/2011 2026 W. On the opposite side breaking cloudiness.

 

28/06/2011 2104 S. More thundery showers began to form in the south.

 

28/06/2011 2155 N. Backside of a passing weak thundery shower.

 

28/06/2011 2221 ESE. First cloud-to-air discharge, distance approx 14 km (over Holsbeek).

 

28/06/2011 2227 ESE. Far distant cloud-to-gound discharge at approx 22 km (over Lubbeek)

 

28/06/2011 2237 ESE. Distance approx 13km (over Leuven).

 

28/06/2011 2240 ESE. One of the better ones, distance approx 8 km (over Herent).

 

28/06/2011 2327 NW. The storm moved in with overhead some near by discharges. This one, sadly on the edge of the frame, had an impact over Kampenhout at a distance of 2 km, lightning even the falling droplets.

 

28/06/2011 2329 NW. Stationary cams point of view, the next close discharge was sadly on the other edge of the viewfinder. Impacts over Weerde and Zemst (distance left one at approx 6 km right one at approx 7 km).

 

28/06/2011 2337 NNW. Playing a bit with the aperture, this shot was slightly underexposed, as the storm moved rather rapidly towards the north with a discharge over Putte at approx 14 km distance.

 

28/06/2011 2358 NNW. The last discharge was again rather close and bright, giving slightly overexposed result. The bright one on the right was over Bonheiden (distance approx 8 km) moving leftwards and ending somewhere over Waarloos (distance 22 km).

 

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