Weather pictures & report of October 7 2009

 

Multi-cell (MCS alike) thunderstorms along waving frontal system.


Synopsis: at 500 hPa an approaching relaxing upper trough from the west. Ahead advection of warm ( T850 hPa 12°C) and potentially unstable air. A waving frontal system just southeast of the polar cold front triggered the instability leading to MCS alike thunderstorms during late afternoon and evening. Lightning rate was quite high for the season, rain did fall in abundant amounts over the centre and northeast of Belgium. All pictures were taken at Steenokkerzeel (central Belgium), hours in local time (CET). 

 

Surface analysis of October 7 at 2000 CET. Polar cold front over the south of the UK, via northern Holland towards the Baltic States moving very slowly southeastwards. Furthermore a waving frontal system over northern France moving northeastwards inducing major thundery outbreaks. The trippelpoint of this system moved during the late evening over the southeast of Belgium. (Source chart: Belgocontrol)

 

Upper air analysis 500 hPa of October 7 at 1400 CET. Our region in a southwesterly flow. Just west of the U.K. a  relaxing long wave trough which moved slowly northeastwards. Its axis passed overhead 24 hours later. (Source chart: DWD via wetter3)

 

Loop of forecasted soundings for Brussels of October 7 between 1200-2000 CET. Potential instability (not very pronounced) was present between 700 hPa (3 km) and 300 hPa (10 km) in a quite strong deep layer shear (unidirectional) environment. A trigger (dynamical of nature like by an incoming front or low) was needed to release this instability. (Source: RASP)

 

07-08/10/2009 1900-0100 CET. Satellite loop in the infra-red channel. Exploding multi-cells over the centre of Belgium and northern France. (Source sat picture: Eumetsat via Sat24.com)

 

Observed sounding which was released at Beauvechain around 2400 CET. At that time, the trippelpoint of the frontal system just edged southeast of the balloon trajectory.  Recognizable are an unstable layer between 820-700 hPa and from 500 hPa up 200 hPa in a furthermore saturated airmass. (Source Belgocontrol)

 

Radar loop (reflectivity in dBZ) between 1745-0155 CET. Tops of showers went up to around 10 km. During the early evening a line of active thundery showers formed over the centre of Belgium. For a relative long time, they trailed over the same locations leading to excessive rainfall. Later on, over the Ardennes, a cyclonic feature becomes recognizable, this being the trippelpoint of the frontal system. (Source radar picture: Belgocontrol)

 

07/10/2009. Lightning sequence between 2015-2215. A line of showers moved northeastwards with slow progress to the southeast. Over the south a new active cell is on its way to Belgium which would principally affect the Ardennes. For Belgium around 4000 cloud-to-ground discharges were counted out of a total of 7300, quite high values for the season. (Source: blids)

 

Some metars (hours in UTC) of Brussels Airport (EBBR). Translation: copy paste each obs via metar-decoder

EBBR 071320Z 21005KT 9999 -SHRA FEW018 SCT025 19/17 Q1011 NOSIG
EBBR 071320Z 21005KT 9999 -SHRA FEW018 SCT025 19/17 Q1011 NOSIG
EBBR 071350Z 19003KT 9999 FEW018 SCT025 19/17 Q1010 NOSIG
EBBR 071420Z 18003KT 140V210 9999 -SHRA FEW018 SCT025 19/17 Q1010 NOSIG
EBBR 071450Z VRB02KT 9999 -SHRA FEW018 SCT025 19/17 Q1009 NOSIG
EBBR 071520Z 16001KT 9999 SCT024 19/17 Q1009 NOSIG
EBBR 071550Z VRB01KT 5000 -SHRA SCT018 BKN049 18/17 Q1009 TEMPO 3000 SHRA SCT006 BKN012
EBBR 071620Z 12004KT 9000 -SHRA FEW002 SCT032 18/17 Q1008 TEMPO 3000 SHRA SCT006 BKN012
EBBR 071620Z 12004KT 9000 -SHRA FEW002 SCT032 18/17 Q1008 TEMPO 3000 SHRA SCT006 BKN012
EBBR 071650Z 13005KT 100V170 6000 -SHRA FEW002 SCT032 18/16 Q1007 TEMPO 3000 SHRA SCT006 BKN012
EBBR 071720Z VRB02KT 5000 RA SCT004 BKN032 18/17 Q1008 TEMPO 3000 TSRA BKN006 BKN012CB
EBBR 071750Z 01010KT 2000 +TSRA SCT003 SCT012CB BKN032 17/16 Q1008 TEMPO 3000 TSRA BKN006 BKN012CB
EBBR 071820Z VRB01KT 4000 TSRA SCT003 BKN012CB 16/14 Q1007 NOSIG
EBBR 071850Z 19006KT 8000 TSRA FEW005 SCT012CB BKN030 16/15 Q1007 NOSIG
EBBR 071920Z 21004KT 8000 RA VCTS FEW005 FEW012CB BKN017 17/15 Q1007 NOSIG
EBBR 071950Z 23004KT 180V260 8000 RA VCTS FEW005 FEW012CB BKN017 16/15 Q1006 NOSIG
EBBR 072020Z VRB02KT 9999 -RA VCTS FEW005 FEW012CB 16/15 Q1006 NOSIG
EBBR 072050Z 00000KT 9999 SCT002 16/15 Q1006 NOSIG
EBBR 072120Z 15001KT 4500 BR SCT002 FEW012CB 15/15 Q1005 NOSIG
EBBR 072150Z VRB01KT 0600 R25L/P1500N R25R/1300D R02/0800VP1500D -RA FG VCTS SCT002 FEW012CB 16/15 Q1005 NOSIG
EBBR 072220Z 17003KT 130V220 6000 RA SCT005 BKN010 16/15 Q1005 NOSIG
EBBR 072250Z 19004KT 160V220 4500 RA BR SCT005 BKN014 16/15 Q1005 NOSIG
EBBR 072320Z 23004KT 4500 RA BR SCT005 BKN014 16/15 Q1005 NOSIG
EBBR 072350Z 22004KT 4500 RA BR SCT003 BKN008 16/15 Q1005 NOSIG

EBBR 080020Z 23011KT 6000 FEW003 BKN007 17/16 Q1005 NOSIG
EBBR 080050Z 27013G23KT 230V300 9999 FEW005 BKN008 16/15 Q1006 NOSIG
EBBR 080120Z 30008KT 9999 -RA SCT005 BKN010 14/13 Q1007 NOSIG

 

07-08/10/2009. Amount of precipitation (in mm) between 2000-0200 hr. Top was Zaventem: during the first thunderstorm rainfall rate was briefly 77 mm/h. This shower produced a total of around 40 mm in less than an hour.

 

07/10/2009 2108 SE. Lightning with impacts less than 5 km from the airport started around 1947. Rate was quite high with between 2015-2040 even three discharges on the airfield self, however at that time not in position to make pictures. Afterwards I could give it a try with here a first cloud-to-ground discharge at a distance of around 25 km.

 

07/10/2009 2109 SE. A rather faint cloud-to-ground discharge, distance around 30 km.

 

07/10/2009 2112 SE. Couple faint cloud-to-ground discharges, distance 25 km and the faintest at 32 km.

 

07/10/2009 2142 SSE. Bold cloud-to ground discharge, in this cropped picture distance was around 21 km.

 

07/10/2009 2156 S. Closest discharge captured, distance of impact was 11 km (at St-Pieters Woluwe).

 

07/10/2009 2158 S. Long forked cloud-to-air discharge, at a distance between 14 and 18 km.

 

07/10/2009 2208 S. One of the last discharges that could be captured, cloud-to-air, distance around 12 km

 

07/10/2009 2222 NE. Formation of some fragments of Stratus seemed to be harmless at that moment, but an hour later things turned out differently.

 

07/10/2009 2353 SW. Due to backing winds to the north, fog invaded the airport around 2345, leading to this spooky effect. It came in a certain way as a surprise, it was formed over the woody fields due to slight cooling (by the turning winds) of the almost saturated lowest layer (due to the rain). It made further photography (sadly) impossible of some nearby discharges over the south of a second (edging) thunderstorm. Half an hour later with the veering wind, the fog drifted back northwards and also dissipated due to the falling rain, but by then the thunderstorm had drifted too far.  

 

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